Trump Will Provide Classified Intelligence to Kremlin

Trump Will Provide Classified Intelligence to Kremlin

Trump Will Provide Classified Intelligence to Kremlin

This is what today’s headlines should read, because it conveys what will actually happen when the U.S. Department of Justice and Department of National Intelligence are forced to comply with the President’s reckless order to declassify and publicly release numerous classified documents in the name of “transparency.” According to a September 17, 2018 press release from the White House, the documents to be declassified will include:

  • Pages 10-12 and 17-34 of the June 2017 application to the FISA court in the matter of Carter W. Page
  • All FBI reports of interviews with Bruce G. Ohr prepared in connection with the Russia investigation
  • All FBI reports of interviews prepared in connection with all Carter Page FISA applications
  • All text messages relating to the Russia investigation, without redaction [blacking out portions of text], of James Comey, Andrew McCabe, Peter Strzok, Lisa Page, and Bruce Ohr

WhiteHousePressRelease-Declassification


 

The backgrounds of the people in question are:

  • Carter Page:
    • American citizen who regularly does business in Russia
    • Lost a large amount of money if Russian investments
    • Came to the attention of the FBI in 2013 when the FBI believed that he was being actively recruited by Russian operatives
    • Became Trump Campaign Foreign Policy Adviser in March 2016
    • Gave pro-Russia speech in Moscow in July 2016
    • Went to Moscow again in December 2016
  • Bruce Ohr
    • High-ranking Department of Justice official with expertise in Russian organized crime
    • Long-time friend of highly regarded Russia expert/former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele; Steele had been contracted to begin investigating Trump’s activities in Russia in mid 2016 by research firm Fusion GPS (the company paid indirectly by the Clinton Campaign to do opposition research into Trump); Steele’s interviews with his trusted sources in Russia resulted in the “Steele dossier”
    • Bruce Ohr and Christopher Steele apparently had conversations after and possibly during the campaign about the information that Steele was uncovering
    • Bruce Ohr’s wife Nellie worked for Fusion GPS on the different aspects of the same Trump project that Steele was hired to work on (see article of this coincidence)
  • James Comey
    • FBI Director during the 2016 Campaign and for the early months of the Trump Administration
    • Fired by President Trump in May 2017, triggering special counsel investigation into Trump for obstruction of justice
  • Andrew McCabe
    • Deputy Director of the FBI during the 2016 Campaign
    • Temporary acting Director of the FBI after James Comey was fired
    • Was found by the DOJ Inspector General’s office to have made unauthorized releases to the media and to have “lacked candor” when asked about it
  • Peter Strzok
    • Former FBI Chief of Counterespionage
    • Led FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton’s use of a private e-mail server
    • Worked for first two months of Mueller investigation into Russian interference in 2016 election
    • Removed from Mueller investigation after Mueller learned of anti-Trump text messages between Strzok and an extramarital mistress, Lisa Page, sent between August 2015 and December 2016
    • Discussed a “media strategy” in texts with Page
  • Lisa Page
    • Former FBI lawyer
    • Briefly served on Mueller investigative team
    • Had affair with FBI officer Peter Strzok

 

There may be validity to initiating a deeper investigation into the actions of some of these individuals and determining whether their personal political biases crept into their professional activities. However, declassifying and releasing these documents to the public is not the appropriate way to do that. The information should instead be evaluated by a special counsel and/or by the courts. Releasing the information publicly will contribute to the legitimacy of an obstruction of justice case against the President and will jeopardize our national security.

When we hear that a government document is being released to the public, we typically envision the public as the average American citizen. In American culture, such transparency with the public is generally considered a good thing. Yet when the government assigns a “classified” label to certain information, there is a reason for that. That reason for classifying the information is usually important and should be bypassed only with thorough consideration of the unintended consequences.

The President’s public release of classified information about an active investigation into himself can provide otherwise unobtainable insights that enable witnesses and accomplices to shape their stories to match the known facts while concealing vital, still undiscovered information. This would be tantamount to obstruction of justice, similar to providing inside police information to a criminal about that criminal’s own case.

Far more alarmingly, however, are the national security implications of the President’s decision. Successful intelligence and law enforcement operations depend on the security of “sources and methods.” This is shorthand for maintaining confidentiality of how information was obtained (disclosure of which would tip off guilty parties and foreign adversaries about, for example, what modes of communication to avoid) and who the information was obtained from (disclosure of which could at best result in those informants and spies no longer being useful sources of information, or could at worst result in those individuals and their families being killed).

In Russia, the mafia and the Kremlin have a symbiotic relationship. What benefit can Russia gain from knowing about the communications between Russian organized crime expert Bruce Ohr and Christopher Steele, who relied on numerous individuals inside Russia to compile his dossier? Which of Steele’s sources might be revealed in the declassified documents? How valuable would the Kremlin find information about how Russia’s election interference activities were first uncovered and how the investigation proceeded from there?

Even if names are redacted, the descriptions of dates and locations can enable a foreign adversary to determine how their activities became compromised, and who compromised them. By rendering certain intelligence sources and methods less useful or even useless, the President is jeopardizing our national security, making it that much harder for our intelligence community to determine what hostile adversaries are up to. He also may be intentionally or unintentionally tipping off Putin on how to cover tracks of Russian election interference activities being investigated by Mueller.

Trump’s decision to publicize valuable, unredacted, classified information is not only a disclosure to the average American: it is a prized treasure trove of information for the Kremlin.

– rob rünt

June 4 – 10, 2017

 


Articles & Editorials:


Main Stories


Robert Mueller


Special Counsel Mueller Puts an Expert in the Mafia and Fraud at the Heart of His Investigation
(Daily KOS – 6/6/17)

‘Brilliant’ Criminal Law Expert Joins Mueller’s Team on Russia Probe
(Chicago Tribune – 6/9/17)


Leaks


Federal Government Contractor in Georgia Charged With Removing and Mailing Classified Materials to a News Outlet
(Department of Justice – 6/5/17)

NSA leak suspect Reality Winner allegedly bragged in jail calls she would ‘play that card’ of being ‘pretty, white and cute’
(Business Insider – 6/9/17)


Former FBI Director James Comey


Comey Told Sessions: Don’t Leave Me Alone With Trump
(New York Times – 6/6/17)

Comey Accuses White House Of ‘Lies, Plain And Simple’ About His Firing
(National Public Radio – 6/8/17)

“I can definitively say the President is not a liar.”

– White House spokeswoman Sarah Huckabee Sanders
   June 8 Press Conference (The Hill – 6/8/17)

Full Transcript and Video: James Comey’s Testimony on Capitol Hill
(New York Times – 6/8/17)

7 Takeaways from Comey’s Extraordinary Testimony About What Trump Told Him to Do
(Washington Post – 6/8/17)

Ryan Defends Trump: President is New at This
(CNN – 6/8/17)

The Five Lines of Defense Against Comey — and Why They Failed
(The Atlantic – 6/8/17)

And while everyone was paying attention to the Comey hearing, remember what resulted from bank deregulation by the end of the George W. Bush years?

House Passes Sweeping Legislation to Roll Back Banking Rules
(Washington Post – 6/9/17)


Counter–Punching


 Trump Sees Comey’s Testimony as ‘Complete Vindication’ — and His Fans Agree
(Washington Post – 6/10/17)

President Trump’s Lawyer’s Statement on Comey Hearing
(CNN – 6/8/17)

Calling Comey a Liar, Trump Says He Will Testify Under Oath
(New York Times – 6/9/17)

See May 18 blog entry:
“Why Donald Trump Will Be Impeached and May Go To Prison”

Trump: I’m Willing to Testify Under Oath About Comey Claims
(CNN – 6/9/17)


Other Stories That You Should Know About:


Testimony Before Congress by Daniel Coats (Director of National Intelligence) and Mike Rogers (NSA Director)


Top Intelligence Official Told Associates Trump Asked Him if He Could Intervene with Comey on FBI Russia Probe
(Washington Post – 6/6/17)

Coats and Rogers Refuse to Say if Trump Asked Them to Sway Russia Probe
(Politico – 6/7/17)

Transcript of Testimony by Coats and Rogers
(CNN – 6/7/17)


Testimony from Attorney General Jeff Sessions Coming Up


Sessions Says he Plans to Testify Before Senate Intelligence Panel
(CNN – 6/10/17)


Trump Supporters


It’s Time to Bust the Myth: Most Trump Voters Were not Working Class
(Washington Post – 6/5/17)


Business Dealings


How Donald Trump Shifted Kids-Cancer Charity Money Into His Business
(Forbes – 6/6/17)

Eric Trump’s Cancer Charity Event was Billed by Trump for Use of Golf Course
(CBS News – 6/7/17)

Democrats to Sue Trump Over Conflicts of Interest
(Politico – 6/7/17)


International Relations


Foreign Relations Chairman Stunned by Trump’s Qatar Tweets
(The Hill – 6/6/17)

Russian fighter Intercepts U.S. Bomber Over Baltic Sea
(Reuters – 6/6/17)

Nikki Haley Warns US May Pull Out of UN Human Rights Council Over ‘Anti-Israel Bias’
(The Independent UK – 6/6/17)

North Korea Slams Trump’s Decision to Pull out of Paris Accord as ‘the Height of Egotism’
(Washington Post – 6/7/17)

North Korea’s Antiship Missile Test Aims to Show It Can Repel Assault
(New York Times – 6/8/17)


Impeachment


Former US Intelligence Chief: Watergate Pales in Comparison to Russia Probe
(CNN – 6/7/17)


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ACT for America Stages Marches Against ‘Sharia Law’ Nationwide, Arrests Made
(NBC News – 6/10/17)


 Keeping Track of the Basics:


Editorials


 Donald Trump is a Profoundly Incompetent President
(Chicago Tribune – 6/7/17)

Reality Winner isn’t a Whistleblower — or a Victim of Trump’s War on Leaks
(Washington Post – 6/8/17)

Russia’s Attempt to Hack US Election Officials, Explained
(Vox – 6/6/17)

Trump has Mastered the Art of Seeming Like He’s Telling the Truth
(Washington Post – 6/9/17)


 

Cartoons, Images & Videos


Comedian John Mulvaney on Stephen Colbert’s show:


This Week’s Blog Entry:

CoverImage-01

What You Don’t Need to Know: Understanding Intelligence and Law Enforcement Regarding Trump


Events & Actions


Resources & Organizations


 

May 7 – 13, 2017

May 7 – 13, 2017

Articles & Editorials:


Main Stories


Russia


Donald Trump’s Many, Many, Many, Many Ties to Russia
(Time – originally published 8/2/16, but extremely relevant to what is happening now)

Eric Trump Reportedly Bragged About Access to $100 Million in Russian Money
“We don’t rely on American banks. We have all the funding we need out of Russia.”
(Vanity Fair – 5/8/17)

White House Spokesperson: ‘Time to Move on’ from Russia Probes
(The Hill – 5/9/17)

McConnell Rejects Calls for Special Prosecutor
(Politico – 5/10/17)

With Awkward Timing, Trump Meets Top Russian Official
(New York Times – 5/10/17)

Presence of Russian Photographer in Oval Office Raises Alarms
(Washington Post – 5/10/17)


Sally Yates


Sally Yates Tells Senators She Warned Trump About Michael Flynn
(New York Times – 5/8/17)

Full Transcript: Sally Yates and James Clapper Testify on Russian Election Interference
(Washington Post – 5/8/17)

10 Important Questions Raised by Sally Yates’s Testimony on the ‘Compromised’ Michael Flynn
(Washington Post – 5/9/17)


Michael Flynn


Obama Warned Trump Against Hiring Mike Flynn, Say Officials
(NBC News – 5/8/17)

Senate Intel Panel Subpoenas Flynn for Docs in Russia Probe
(The Hill – 5/10/17)


James Comey


Comey’s Testimony on Huma Abedin Forwarding Emails Was Inaccurate
(Pro-Publica – 5/8/17)

FBI Director James Comey Is Fired by Trump
(New York Times – 5/9/17)

Days Before Firing, Comey Asked for More Resources for Russia Inquiry
(New York Times – 5/10/17)

Deputy AG Rosenstein was on the Verge of Resigning, Upset Over WH Pinning Comey Firing on Him
(ABC News – 5/11/17)

Trump Interview With Lester Holt: President Asked Comey If He Was Under Investigation
(NBC News – 5/11/17) (Partial Transcript: Real Clear Politics)

In a Private Dinner, Trump Demanded Loyalty. Comey Demurred.
(New York Times – 5/11/17)


Other Stories That You Should Know About:


Conflicts of Interest


Donald Trump’s Conflicts of Interests: A Crib Sheet
(The Atlantic – 4/24/17)

Kushner Family Stands to Gain From Visa Rules in Trump’s First Major Law
(New York Times – 5/8/17)

The Kushners Add to Trump’s Growing Conflicts of Interest: the Sister of Trump’s Top Adviser Just Pitched Her White House Connections to Chinese Investors
(Bloomberg – 5/8/17)

Trump In-Laws Promote Thorny Visa-for-Sale Program in China
(Washington Post – 5/8/17)


 Keeping Track of the Basics:


Editorials


Sean Spicer ‘Spent Several Minutes Hidden in the Bushes’
(MSNBC – 5/10/17)

Trump’s Know-Nothing Tour de Force
(Bloomberg – 5/11/17)

Innocent People Don’t Usually Act the Way Trump is Acting
(MSNBC – 5/10/17)

Clapper’s Remarks Constitute the Third Strike for Trump
(Washington Post – 5/12/17)


Cartoons, Images & Videos


Posted on Facebook by Now This – US Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY) on Firing of FBI Director James Comey:

Posted on Facebook by US Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT):

MSNBC Interview with US Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA):

Source: Unknown:

Week-0019-170513-003

Source: Unknown:

Week-0019-170513-001

Posted on Facebook by The Other 98%:

Week-0019-170513-002

Week-0019-170513-007

Source: Unknown:

Week-0019-170513-008


This Week’s Blog Entry:

CoverImage-01

It’s Time for an Intervention in Washington DC (Part 3 of 3)


Events & Actions


Resources & Organizations


 

 

 

On Impeachment

On Impeachment

On Impeachment


2/18/17


Each day, many of us watch slack-jawed as we witness further evidence of President Trump’s potential corruption, ties to Russia, mental instability, administrative chaos, lack of knowledge of political basics, divisiveness, and extremism. Many of us consider at least some of these things to be cause for impeachment, and we wonder why the wheels are not being put in motion for a removal from office. There are a number of explanations.

First, and most obviously, Congress needs to initiate and follow through on any impeachment proceedings, and both houses are currently controlled by Republicans. Those Republican Congresspeople are, by and large, getting exactly what they want right now – and more: Trump is doing all of the most extreme and unpopular things that they have wanted to do for years, and is taking all of the public heat for it. All that the Congressional Republicans have to do is keep their mouths shut, look the other way and whistle a happy tune. What could be better?

Second, many Congressional Republicans are the kind of politicians that Trump voters couldn’t stand: politically cowardly, insincere, ready to change positions whenever they believe that doing so is politically expedient. They see a lot of unrest in the streets and at their town halls right now. But they also know that Trump voters were silent before they elected Trump, and are quite possibly being silent right now. Politically, that is a very smart observation, and is an important thing for people on the left to be aware of as well: despite the impression that the left’s echo chamber might create for itself, the lack of vocal support for Trump right now does not mean that that support may not still be widespread. Congressional Republicans do not want to outrage this “silent majority” (realistically a minority), because Trump’s people are much more likely to vote Republican in future elections than are the masses who are swarming out into the streets.

Third, like many other Americans, Congressional Republicans watched the Presidential debates, where Trump effectively used aggressive, simplistic, elementary-schoolyard-style branding to inescapably trample each of his opponents – Republican and Democrat. They know that opposing him could be politically disastrous. They also know that the time will eventually come when they have no choice but to do so.

Right now is the honeymoon period for Congressional Republicans. Trump has behaved more like a king than a President. As the former top decision-maker for his own companies, that is how he is used to operating all his life. His main Presidential actions have been to sign his own executive orders. There has not yet been much of the usual back-and-forth that takes place between a President and the Legislature. That kind of interaction will eventually come, but for now, Congress is happy to have the President do what he wants and let him experience all of the flack for it.

Fourth, Congressional Republicans have made the political calculation that the impeachable things that Trump can be proven in a court of law to have done thus far do not yet rise to the level of public outrage that would prompt them to impeach. Realistically, all that is provable is that Trump has conflicts between his Presidential duties and his financial interests – bad, but not bad enough. Arguments about his mental instability could result in impeachment under the 25th Amendment, but such mental instability is difficult to prove in court. His divisiveness and extremism are part of what appealed to his most enthusiastic base, and that base is generally pleased with what they have seen from him so far. His lack of knowledge of politics is something that could be fully expected from a political “outsider,” so there is little surprising there beyond perhaps his seeming willful determination to flaunt that lack of knowledge internationally, offending America’s traditional allies and adversaries alike. Similarly, his Administration’s inner chaos and incompetence could be expected from a Washington novice, and he has dismissed reports of disorganization as “fake news” from the “lying press” – a characterization that his supporters likely believe.

That leaves us with his ties to Russia. Despite the seething anger of Congressional Democrats after a confidential briefing several weeks ago from FBI Director James Comey, I am of the belief that Comey’s FBI and other intelligence agencies are in the process of diligently investigating these Russian connections, and that any silence from the FBI and others is out of a desire not to jeopardize those investigations by tipping off the Administration about what leads they are pursuing. I also believe that the law enforcement and intelligence communities are investigating Trump’s business interests as they relate to corruption of his position as an elected public official.

Until one of these two investigations is complete, we are unlikely to see any serious moves toward impeachment. However, I do believe that at that point, there will be ample and irrefutable evidence, it will be made public, and Congress will have no choice but to take action.

In practical terms, such action will be far from undesirable for Congress: they will have in Mike Pence a mentally stable, cooperative President with whom they are ideologically in perfect step; all of the really ugly, controversial measures will already have been put in place by Trump; and people on the left will be jumping for joy at their “victory” and breathing a sigh of relief that there is no longer a lunatic in the White House with one finger on the nuclear button and one finger on his Twitter account.

And that’s the way that I believe the American Constitutional system will ultimately force/empower a dysfunctional political system to remove a profoundly unfit leader from office in the year 2017. If we can get there without a nuclear war, major financial collapse, or the irreversible implementation of an authoritarian state along the way, I’ll be happy. Yeah, I’m setting the bar pretty low.

– rob rünt


Sunday, January 15, 2017

Sunday, January 15, 2017

 


 The major Trump news this week was:

  • There will be protests in cities nationwide on Friday and Saturday – to find one near you, click here
  • The public release of a dossier compiled by a former British intelligence officer about incriminating material that Russia has allegedly collected on Mr. Trump
  • FBI Director James Comey reveals a possible double standard in his pre-election handling of incriminating evidence against Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
  • Trump’s first press conference in over five months, announcing plans to eliminate his conflicts of interest
  • The confirmation hearings for Trump’s Cabinet picks, many of whom are controversial
  • Washington DC prepares for protests

Articles and Editorials


Russia’s “Kompromat” on Trump

On Tuesday, CNN reported that the CIA’s briefing to Donald Trump and President Obama on Russian hacking included a two-page summary of a dossier compiled by a former British intelligence officer about incriminating financial and personal material that Russia had gathered on Donald Trump over the past five years– material which, if it does exist, Russia could presumably use to blackmail Donald Trump as President (Full Article – CNN). Online news source Buzzfeed later published what they asserted to be the entire contents of the dossier (Full Article and Alleged Dossier), which they admitted that they could not verify as factual.

The former British intelligence officer was initially hired by one of Trump’s Republican primary opponents, and was later paid to continue his work by an anonymous Democrat (Full Article – BBC). The former British spy has since gone into hiding, which MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow speculated Friday was out of fear of experiencing the same kind of high-profile London assassination as other individuals who have angered the Kremlin like Georgi Markov and Alexander Litvinenko.


Comey’s Double Standard?

Shortly before the election, FBI Director James Comey took the unprecedented step of notifying Congress shortly before the election that he had reopened an investigation into Hillary Clinton’s e-mails. Although he informed Congress immediately before the election that he had again closed the investigation, many Democrats consider his earlier announcement to be a factor in Trump winning the election.

On Friday, January 13, members of Congress were given a classified briefing by Comey and other intelligence officials regarding Russia’s influence on the Presidential election. Although the members of Congress could not elaborate afterward due to the classified nature of what they had been told, many Democrats left the meeting enraged, stating that Comey had lost credibility (Full Article – Huffington Post).


Trump’s Press Conference

On Wednesday, January 11, Donald Trump held his first press conference since July, 2016 (Full Transcript and Video – New York Times). After weeks of vehement denial, Trump admitted during the conference that Russia probably did interfere with the US election which has resulted in his impending Presidency. However, when questioned about the dossier, he angrily denied any truth it, pointing out that the Kremlin had just offered reassurance that they do not have such information (Full Article – Washington Post). It should be noted that such documents and videotapes would be of far more use to Russia after Mr. Trump has been officially sworn into office on Friday, January 20.

At the press conference, Mr. Trump also announced his plans for ensuring that he will put the interests of the American people above those of his businesses. His plan consists largely of turning his businesses over to his sons while he is President, along with an assurance that he and his sons will not discuss the businesses for the duration of his Presidency. Many ethicists believe that this plan does not address conflict of interest issues (Full Article – Tha Atlantic). A true resolution to his conflicts of interests would involve Trump selling his businesses and putting the cash in a blind trust, to be invested in a way that he has no knowledge of during his Presidency.


Confirmation of Trump’s Cabinet Picks

With vetting of most Cabinet members still unfinished, the Senate packed numerous Cabinet confirmation hearings into a very short time period – unusual particularly given how controversial many of Trump’s Cabinet selections are (Schedule and Links to Coverage – Politico). Also unprecedented was the decision by three African American Congressmen to present testimony against their colleague, Senator Jeff Sessions, who has a questionable record on civil rights, but whom Trump has chosen as Attorney General (Full Article – Politico).

Many of Trump’s selections expressed differences of opinion with him on significant issues – building the wall, the Muslim registry, etc. (Full Article – NPR). While this may be reassuring to some, it should also be noted that Trump’s Cabinet picks could simply have made these statements to ensure that they could get through the hearings, fully aware that they can always “change their opinion based on new information” later.


DC Prepares for Conflict

What do you get when put Donald Trump’s most passionate supporters and most passionate protesters together in the same city – in adjacent hotel rooms, eating at the same restaurants, overhearing each other’s conversations, and finally turning out in force in the streets to express themselves? We’re about to find out. Tens of thousands of supporters and protesters are expected to arrive in Washington DC for Trump’s Friday Inauguration Ceremony (Full Article – Politico), with another 1,200 busloads of protesters expected to come to the city for a Women’s March on Washington scheduled for Saturday. (Many cities around the country will also be having local protests on Friday and Women’s Marches on Saturday).


Cartoons, Images & Videos


Cartoon originally published by Norwegian news outlet VG, and falsely rumored to have been banned from Twitter and Facebook:

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Video of Donald Trump playing the accordion posted by Inga Love Belfast:

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Events & Actions


Resources & Organizations